Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Man United
20.9%
Draw
26.1%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Man United
vs
1.37
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).