Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Magdeburg
18.5%
Draw
14.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Magdeburg
vs
1.13
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
6.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
5.0%
3-2
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).