Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Pisa
29.6%
Draw
23.6%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Pisa
vs
0.93
Modena
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).