Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.3%
Schalke 04
20.8%
Draw
65.9%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Schalke 04
vs
2.11
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.6%
0-1
10.4%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).