Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Morecambe
25.4%
Draw
36.5%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Morecambe
vs
1.28
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).