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17 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.9%
Gaziantep
25.8%
Draw
53.4%
İstanbul Başakşehir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Gaziantep

vs
2.07

İstanbul Başakşehir

Markets

BTTS65.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
0-3
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).