Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Padova
29.3%
Draw
47.0%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Padova
vs
1.43
Palermo
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).