Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →98.5%
Burton
1.2%
Draw
0.3%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
5.47
Burton
vs
0.34
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS28.9%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.9%
Over 2.592.7%
Over 3.582.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-0
12.5%
4-0
11.4%
3-0
8.4%
2-0
4.6%
5-1
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
4-2
0.7%
1-1
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).