Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Frosinone
26.6%
Draw
49.9%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Frosinone
vs
1.42
Lazio
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
10.1%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).