Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Carlisle
22.5%
Draw
15.4%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Carlisle
vs
0.90
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).