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16 May 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.2%
Halmstad
29.6%
Draw
42.2%
Elfsborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Halmstad

vs
1.38

Elfsborg

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).