Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Bury
32.0%
Draw
21.4%
AFC Dunstable
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Bury
vs
0.62
AFC Dunstable
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.550.2%
Over 2.524.2%
Over 3.59.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.1%
0-0
18.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).