Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Paris SG
20.3%
Draw
25.9%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Paris SG
vs
1.36
Rennes
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).