Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Celta
20.3%
Draw
11.0%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Celta
vs
0.67
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).