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AHT: 01CSV

23 Feb 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.3%
Anderlecht
29.8%
Draw
54.9%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.57

Anderlecht

vs
1.34

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS32.9%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.1%
0-0
15.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).