Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Brighton
23.2%
Draw
16.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Brighton
vs
1.03
Burnley
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).