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10 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.3%
Alloa
23.8%
Draw
13.9%
Stirling

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Alloa

vs
0.72

Stirling

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).