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HHT: 20CSV

05 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.5%
Portsmouth
19.8%
Draw
19.6%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Portsmouth

vs
1.00

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.0%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).