Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Fiorentina
25.8%
Draw
38.2%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Fiorentina
vs
1.34
Bologna
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).