Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Troyes
22.6%
Draw
17.4%
Martigues
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Troyes
vs
0.73
Martigues
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).