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AHT: 02

18 Oct 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.3%
Queens Park Rangers
27.6%
Draw
44.1%
Millwall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.51

Millwall

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).