Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Watford
32.9%
Draw
33.6%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Watford
vs
1.01
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.4%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
0-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).