Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Karlsruhe
18.6%
Draw
62.1%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Karlsruhe
vs
2.68
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS72.9%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.578.7%
Over 3.560.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-4
4.9%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
2-4
3.7%
0-1
3.5%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).