Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Ferrol
25.1%
Draw
63.7%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Ferrol
vs
1.52
Elche
Markets
BTTS29.1%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.9%
0-2
15.9%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
9.6%
0-3
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
0-4
3.1%
2-1
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
2-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).