Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Millwall
23.8%
Draw
20.3%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Millwall
vs
1.07
Leicester
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).