Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Weymouth
21.0%
Draw
61.7%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Weymouth
vs
2.22
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
4.0%
0-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).