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24 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Cadiz
31.5%
Draw
33.5%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Cadiz

vs
0.94

Leganes

Markets

BTTS37.5%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.8%
1-0
14.6%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).