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HHT: 10CSV

02 May 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.4%
Shrewsbury
25.7%
Draw
31.9%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Shrewsbury

vs
1.06

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).