Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Dundee United
27.0%
Draw
21.3%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Dundee United
vs
0.89
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).