Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Wrexham
27.5%
Draw
22.4%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Wrexham
vs
0.77
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).