Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Hannover
21.4%
Draw
19.6%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Hannover
vs
1.25
Dresden
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).