Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.3%
St. Gallen
14.8%
Draw
6.9%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
St. Gallen
vs
0.84
Inter
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
5-1
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).