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DHT: 01

06 Oct 2024 · 12:00

Kalmar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.9%
Djurgården
20.4%
Draw
13.7%
Kalmar

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Djurgården

vs
0.97

Kalmar

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).