Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Catanzaro
29.3%
Draw
21.6%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Catanzaro
vs
0.87
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).