Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.8%
Monza
23.5%
Draw
11.7%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Monza
vs
0.66
Brescia
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).