Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Sassuolo
24.5%
Draw
55.3%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Sassuolo
vs
1.61
Milan
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).