Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Notts County
23.6%
Draw
21.9%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Notts County
vs
0.93
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).