Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Norwich
33.7%
Draw
38.1%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Norwich
vs
1.13
Watford
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.3%
0-0
14.4%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).