Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Tottenham
26.1%
Draw
46.9%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Tottenham
vs
1.78
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).