Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Bristol City
26.3%
Draw
27.2%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Bristol City
vs
1.18
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).