Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Albacete
25.5%
Draw
28.5%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Albacete
vs
1.12
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).