Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Reading
18.7%
Draw
70.1%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Reading
vs
2.35
Fulham
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).