Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Walsall
23.5%
Draw
49.3%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Walsall
vs
1.64
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).