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DHT: 01CSV

25 Feb 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
Coventry
24.1%
Draw
23.5%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Coventry

vs
0.90

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).