⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 11

28 Feb 2026 · 11:30

Rostov

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
70.8%
Krasnodar
21.0%
Draw
8.2%
Rostov

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Krasnodar

vs
0.56

Rostov

Markets

BTTS38.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.5%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
10.4%
1-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).