Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Troyes
23.7%
Draw
51.2%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Troyes
vs
1.54
Lorient
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).