Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Everton
32.5%
Draw
28.9%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Everton
vs
1.01
Brighton
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).