⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 02CSV

16 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
29.4%
Dunfermline
32.4%
Draw
38.2%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Dunfermline

vs
1.24

Partick

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.3%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).