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AHT: 12CSV

27 Aug 2023 · 14:00

Reims

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.0%
Montpellier
30.0%
Draw
46.1%
Reims

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Montpellier

vs
1.13

Reims

Markets

BTTS33.9%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.5%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).