Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Weymouth
20.0%
Draw
43.0%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Weymouth
vs
2.11
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS75.2%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.577.1%
Over 3.557.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-3
5.1%
3-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
3-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).